Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.000198 0.000222 0.000247 0.000275 0.000308 0.000342 0.000382
2025-06-08 0.000162 0.000193 0.000228 0.000271 0.000322 0.000381 0.000453
2025-06-15 0.000137 0.000173 0.000216 0.000270 0.000339 0.000421 0.000528
2025-06-22 0.000117 0.000155 0.000203 0.000267 0.000351 0.000456 0.000599
2025-06-29 0.000104 0.000145 0.000197 0.000271 0.000371 0.000502 0.000687
2025-07-06 0.000093 0.000135 0.000191 0.000272 0.000387 0.000543 0.000771
2025-07-13 0.000083 0.000124 0.000182 0.000269 0.000397 0.000576 0.000847
2025-07-20 0.000077 0.000119 0.000181 0.000276 0.000421 0.000629 0.000954
2025-07-27 0.000071 0.000113 0.000177 0.000278 0.000436 0.000672 0.001049
2025-08-03 0.000065 0.000107 0.000172 0.000279 0.000450 0.000711 0.001141
2025-08-10 0.000059 0.000100 0.000165 0.000276 0.000457 0.000742 0.001221
2025-08-17 0.000055 0.000096 0.000162 0.000278 0.000472 0.000785 0.001324
2025-08-24 0.000050 0.000090 0.000156 0.000275 0.000480 0.000817 0.001414
2025-08-31 0.000046 0.000085 0.000152 0.000274 0.000490 0.000855 0.001517
2025-09-07 0.000043 0.000081 0.000148 0.000275 0.000504 0.000899 0.001632
2025-09-14 0.000039 0.000076 0.000144 0.000272 0.000512 0.000934 0.001734
2025-09-21 0.000037 0.000074 0.000143 0.000277 0.000531 0.000991 0.001880
2025-09-28 0.000035 0.000071 0.000140 0.000278 0.000546 0.001040 0.002014
2025-10-05 0.000032 0.000067 0.000136 0.000276 0.000553 0.001074 0.002124
2025-10-12 0.000031 0.000066 0.000137 0.000283 0.000579 0.001147 0.002311
2025-10-19 0.000029 0.000064 0.000135 0.000285 0.000595 0.001201 0.002466
2025-10-26 0.000027 0.000062 0.000132 0.000286 0.000608 0.001249 0.002611
2025-11-02 0.000025 0.000059 0.000128 0.000283 0.000613 0.001283 0.002732